January 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loose | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expressly | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Andesine | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Road to Perfection | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Risk | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Three | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pico Chick | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Maddizaskar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Josephine’s Moment | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighth Commandment | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loyal Heart | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perina’s Pride | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Why Not Be Sexy | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeway Cutie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warrior of Light | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lezendary | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | String Section | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Aleone | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Rose of Savanna | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nonna’s Boy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiznoble | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Bond | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marriage Fever | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Necked | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Down One to Go | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Milo Milo (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benny Big Boy | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Vip Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Climb the Ladder | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Luciana Rose | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Bountiful | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Embrace the Chaos | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Boxer | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desert Jazz | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Anna Rae | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Status Asthmaticus | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Nanny | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nyromaniac | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You Like That | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Driven West | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble and True | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Euro | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honor and Pleasure | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skeet Shot | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Perfect Gem | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Snowfly | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Great Samurai | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | New York Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Swivel | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Tommy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | J J’s Dreaming | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prophet’s Cat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dublinthepleasure | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Week | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lou Pal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Heart | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quai Voltaire | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Soul | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Disguise | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryinthemoonlight | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Babe | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purely Lucky | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cause We Are Loyal | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mystique | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Ninja | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jen | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Violent Fit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cathy Naz | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Northernstreetgal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty On the Case | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Cara | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty River | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Glitter | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hug the Rail | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Rashelle | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.