Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 13, 2018

January 13, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 King of Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lil Commissioner 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 More Than a Saint 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Art of the Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Alternative Route 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Highway Song 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 9 Come On Dover 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Time Flies By 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Readyforperfection 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Vic the Boss 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Potomac 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Talking Zip 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Court’s Revenge 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Bevolution 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bella Bella 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rascofrade 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Altered Mind 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Magic Joan 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Decant 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tizahandful 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Galileo Gal (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
10 5 Trust in Diane 12.00 3.6 7-1
15 8 Legallini 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 4 Miss Vicki 12.00 3.7 7-1
16 9 Rise Above It 12.00 4.8 9-1
14 7 Ceremony 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 2 American Cowgirl 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 6 Little Mizzy 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Galilea 12.00 6 11-1
8 3 Nutcracker Suite (IRE) 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nola Win 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Tapability 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Fascilitator 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Late Nite Mischief 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 New Colossus 4.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Turnaround 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bemma’s Boy 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Major Perfection 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Tringale 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Neverquitdreaming 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Taranto 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Messiah 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 It Is Time 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Discovered 4.50 SCRATCH
11 7 Good Offense 6.00 3.1 6-1
15 10 Arkadag 8.00 4.3 8-1
13 9 Dragon Drew 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 5 Celerity 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Soul Beam 6.00 4.6 9-1
12 8 Burnin Daylight 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Satellite 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 6 Caymans Cobra 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 4 Strong Current 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 Nobrag Justfact 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Show Bound 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Yockey’s Warrior 0.80 2.5 5-1
6 5 Blue Wings 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Chublicious 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Zulu 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Enchantera 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Skyluck 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majestic Angel 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Mom’s On Strike 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 Giada Vegas 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 9 Vagabond Princess 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Joyous Thunder 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Inveniam Viam 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 2 Sweetbaby 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Scatter Gun 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Princess Erindelle 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Shes a True Beauty 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Noblame 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Remember Daisy 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Stellar Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Saguaro Row 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wonder Gadot 6.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Heavenly Love 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Blonde Bomber 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 6 Missive 15.00 4 8-1
10 7 Stronger Than Ever 12.00 4 8-1
6 3 America’s Tale 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 5 Shes Our Fastest 20.00 4.5 8-1
12 8 Terra’s Angel 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Avanzare 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Tower of Texas 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Special Ops 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Galton 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Granny’s Kitten 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Saham 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Applicator 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Monster Bea 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Thatcher Street 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Dimension (GB) 8.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ciaran 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wonder Gadot 6.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Instilled Regard 4.00 2.3 4-1
12 10 Principe Guilherme 2.50 3.2 6-1
13 11 Prince Lucky 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Zeke 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Kowboy Karma 6.00 5.5 10-1
14 12 Ebben 20.00 6.6 13-1
15 13 Trigger Warning 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Zing Zang 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Lone Sailor 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Believe in Royalty 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Snapper Sinclair 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 3 Analyze This Jet 30.00 9.4 18-1
7 6 Night Strike 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rated R Superstar 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dazzling Gem 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Leofric 8.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Shut the Box 8.00 3 6-1
8 6 Cooptado (ARG) 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 The Player 3.00 3.8 7-1
11 8 December Seven 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Scuba 10.00 5 9-1
4 2 Cedartown 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Seattle Serenade 12.00 6 11-1
12 9 Guest Suite 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Hawaakom 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Enjoy the Journey 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Conquistador 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Triple Dog Dare 3.50 SCRATCH
12 10 San Elijo 4.50 2.6 5-1
10 8 M G Warrior 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Mercertown 6.00 2.9 6-1
11 9 Hours Truly 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Achiever 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Wilderness Gate 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sensational Zip 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Zero Gravity 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Briar Jumper 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 5 Pulledafastone 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Suzie’s Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Fashion Bid 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 5 Tensas Thought 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 7 Cassidy’s Reward 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 2 Yalisha 5.00 4.5 9-1
1A 3 Fancy Pants Jen 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 New Orleans Spice 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 4 Shy Ruston 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Princess Delores 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Enfestar 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bayou Lady 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jane Ran a Double 4.50 SCRATCH
7 4 Sacred Sounds 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 6 Andale Girl 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 8 Lady Fitzgerald 12.00 4 8-1
3 1 Amore’s Prayer 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 2 Clevius 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 7 Juanita’s Orthodox 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 5 Clara’s Reign 50.00 5.5 10-1
6 3 Force Awakens 20.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.