January 13, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Vow Me Over | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Su Elegancia | 1.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Point At Z Baby | 1.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s Deal | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Romance in Vegas | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Net’s All N | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Rallyonmarion | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Mimosas | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lafitte’s Diamond | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | He’s All Ours | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ole Doc | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Dubai Kowboy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Betting McCann Can | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Stormation | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tonto M | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Witch Hunt | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lukes Bad Boy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stella’s Honor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Sang Dixie | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anything But Amie | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Wekati | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Low | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Easter Lily | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Labelhermypal | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exotic Sin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Cajun | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ganges | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Badtotheboneblake | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dakota Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alabama Slim | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silver Planet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willy Be Invited | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jubal | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitsy’s Half | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deadly Truth | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Poppa Go | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ribbon Box | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friends With Money | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brylee’s Deelite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Doubleshotofcrown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Go Temple Go | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kev’s Inheritance | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derwin’s Miner | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promise Me Sleep | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’digger | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Dude | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alecia’slittleboy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Level Temper | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landman | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrongroadagain | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Class Misty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lefthoofrightleft | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Striking Femme | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zaplicious | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bevos Winch | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cats Beauty | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dyso | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Zipcity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Soulja Slim | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flashy Smile | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amberjack Rey | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rwanda | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Recreational Use | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Christopher Cat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | State Treasurer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My New Guiter | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Reride | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Land Battle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourne in Nixa | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Much Trouble | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Star | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colt Silver Bullet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Arlen’s Prospect | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dustin’s Lute | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saved by Zero | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speedy Thief | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Players Gonna Play | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Young Homie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Andy’s Production | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sin Llorar | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Mario | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fremont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Win Lion Win | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laughingsaintssong | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medal of Courage | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Run | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meme Jo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Kissing Buck | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kenai Star | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forerun | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Equilizer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bucky Boy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clancy’s Pepper | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Off On Holiday | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cristianstorm | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Don | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Sawyer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burning Runner | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Dancing | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wildsummersfun | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.