January 12, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hunky Dory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rockin Royalty | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ojos Corazon | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pearl of Laredo | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twist Tail | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paint Dakota | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muskarella | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sittin On Cotton | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Copper Lady | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Song of Faith | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Pride and Gioia | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zyanara | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skeeter | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Frances | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play the Field | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A Place Remembered | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drewcitable | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Our Man | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Creek | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Ways | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Formeredith | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brush Whacker | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Colliery | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Zapper Bill | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | On Cycle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Badtotheboneblake | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just too Smart | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pioneering Native | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Passing Simon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Primary Patrick | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Shad | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fiddlers Dance | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Malagra Vision | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catlab | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Masculino | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Randy Paul | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salute the C | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Punch | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youve Got a Friend | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A We Bit Flirty | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Hunter | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dry Wood Creek | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keeker | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingston Terrace | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M B Prize | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tunica Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Chrome | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acquarossa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yes to the Dress | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shes Our Fastest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Upset Brewing | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Testing One Two | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | La Mistake | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Laudation | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cowgirl Callie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Another Level | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Joe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tickatee Tickatay | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmens Catcher | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheer Mayhem | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whistling Ranger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wined Up | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Andy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gueydan | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Eldorado S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Persuade Me Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kathballu | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Flatter Up | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Summer House | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Lucky Break | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Bam Bing | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giagiajoe | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lorretta | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Itsbouttime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Anydayoftheweek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Welloverdue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Broadway Brahms | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Powder River Doll | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yes Way | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | L L L College Fund | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Keen Move | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hey Girl | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gabby’s Freedom | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kiwi Magic | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star of Ekati | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.