January 11, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Affair | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cash First | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sun and Sand | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theoryintopractice | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Wild Dancer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Cajun | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saved At Sea | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cape Race | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alabama Tide | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aktabantay (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wyeth | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fleetway | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Bravo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonoma Crush | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Inferno | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Conflict | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conner Clark | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My First Guitar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddieslilwildcat | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Blinkey | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Boy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss You Jo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bitsy’s Afleet | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer Boy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy City | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Tone | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Deacon | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piranha Tough | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay the Dream | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calimor | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Malibu Royalty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Proud Talike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | She’s Plain Jane | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pearl of the Nile | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapany | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Silver Soiree | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Urbane Legend | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ninja Booboo | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peloncillo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brexit | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold On Angel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Warrior | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mommy’s Soldier | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Something Bird | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A P Indy Is Gold | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatexcel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calipso Baby | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Giant | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Humor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Solanair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Billy Big (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Party Marty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roar of the Lion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Aviator Parks | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Dattts Our Guy | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hud | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Make It Run | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crackling Bread | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rahway | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nucla | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Oats | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Sister | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absolute Love | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naples Legacy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actress On Board | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meg Fitz | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | A Higher Wager | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run to Fame | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dude Greeley | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty T | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amber’s Friend | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tylers Bandit | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Blues | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Church of England | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Assembly | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Aaron | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kzixon Vengeance | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.