Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 11, 2018

January 11, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mundo Mutadda 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Moon Gun 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kira’s King 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Kapenta 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 L. A. Hoss 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Closing Way 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Jake Jourdan 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Zarking 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Arkansas Martini 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mocito Rojo 1.60 2.2 4-1
2 1 Nubin Ridge 2.00 3.4 7-1
3 2 Etruscan 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Midnight Ruler 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 King’s Share 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 4 Zackarooney 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lady El Prado 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dixie the Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Southern Allure 3.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Deep End 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Realmente Calmada 2.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Deez Jitterbug 12.00 4 7-1
10 9 Rowdy N Pearls 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Zarb’s Winnie 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 8 Carson’s Cowgirl 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Missbonquiqui 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Azuralee 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Movie Date 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dixie Jackpot 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Angel in My Eyes 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Septennial 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 My Ruston 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 7 Classy and Rich 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Late Appointment 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Pure Tsu Tsu 12.00 5 10-1
3 2 Etoile d’Allie 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Wild Lil Rebel 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Unveil 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Run Trickey Run 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Niagara Storm 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pressing Luck 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Big Yankee 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 R. V.’s Express 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vox Populi 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Reydell 2.50 5 9-1
8 8 Theboyzspark 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Overknight 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Star Time 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Aly’s Grasshopper 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Sacred Saga 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rwanda 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Bubble Time 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Kiss My Bling 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Breezy Song 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 I B Sweet 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 C R Fast Nitelite 8.00 5 9-1
3 2 Flashy Attitude 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Valid Influence 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 No Guts No Glory 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Proper Decorum 3.50 4 7-1
2 1 Like a Cowboy 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Grand Fashioned 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 4 Desert Harbor 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Tee Brown 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Gray Ransom 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Gentlemens Half 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Angie’s Bling 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Sports Book 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fiddlers Farewell 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Northwoods Cat 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 No Game for Sissys 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Back in Business 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Gardner’s Song 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Classic Greeley 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Rascal 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Skylas Gold 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Half Primed 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Gabanator 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Jumping On Clouds 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miss Guretta 6.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Liba 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Spirit of Acadiana 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Crickadee 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Princess Arwen 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 6 Striscetta 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Skipadee Due Da 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lucame 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Strahan 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Joey B 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Love That Brown 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Eagle Rising 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Starook 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Donttakeitpersonal 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Quick Escape 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Jus Rad 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Lord Redding 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Zartan 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Mordecai Man 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.