January 11, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holland Park | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Boss | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Boy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoard | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glennwood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Setter | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Clear | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Power | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Kid | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panama Ed | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Riot Worthy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Wise | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Allison | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Margarita | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Preservationist | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stan the Man | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anchor | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Mission | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okeamo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hold Me Down | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Maddizaskar | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josephine’s Moment | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eighth Commandment | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Familyofroses | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preziosa | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cavallotto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Northern | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asphalt Paving | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three to Thirteen | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Berger | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jewel Can Disco | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | D’funnything | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giantinthemoonlite | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Did | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Giro | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tribecca | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love That Jazz | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Zealous | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Pops | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lazarus Project | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tommy T | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Blue | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Jet | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Westwood | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Blue | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Crocheron Kid | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Accumulator | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whyamisolucky | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | James Ciro | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hong Kong Gardens | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Rose | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trinni Juice | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Charger | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay the Price | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pirate | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Lotta Wine | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.