January 7, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dra. Padilla |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil Bay Corvette |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Divine Diva |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
La Nena de Papa |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cucciolo |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Everyday Ice |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tinca’s Bird |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Devuelta |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zumaque |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chocolate Candy |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Carbon Data |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Snag |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Over Look |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coleman Rocky |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Harlan’s Hunch |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cosmic Thunder |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royalston |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zach’s Image |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Uncle Tbone |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Illustrious Son |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Night Rythm |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Equity |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Running Trappes |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Sailer’s Companion |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
You Are Flatter |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dioscuri |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Shot Jak |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Alter Moon |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cheeky Cherub |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bestinthebusiness |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rizzoli |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tapete Claire |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ridgeline Hope |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greater Glory |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Padrinoneverquits |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Ventina |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Sashay |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roll It Gal |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starship Hostility |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roraima |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rara |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sassy Astray |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
I’m Really Sumthin |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Motion’s First |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Steph Got Even |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Bodes Well |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pounds to Pennies |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Money Factor |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Battle Flag |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fontanazza |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Queen Jill |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Competitivebalance |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Sweet Lorraine |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mystify Me |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Love Story |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Whoop Ti Do |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Matt |
4.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cape Force |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heliodoro |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cotton Colors |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hy Dandy |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Doolittle Raiders |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gun Carriage |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hundred Percent |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Proud Enough |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mass Approval |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hangry |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Glitz |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Miraculously |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gibson Girl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Kathy’s Clown |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jasmine’s Gem |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tapitai |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pass It On |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reversethedecision |
4.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kallio |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
I’m Pretty Strong |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smashing Serena |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hazana |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Orbortunistic |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Solar Vortex |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ad In |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Iconic |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Songeur |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lunaire |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Texas Zip |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Attribute |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tipsy Kitten |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Favorite Heir |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Union Brass |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creative Courage |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Forever Di |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Bama Bound |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Browns Gap |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Powerline |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chovanes |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Ciclon |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
11 |
Summer Scamp |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lifes Reward |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Turncoat |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Recalibrating |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
American Tzar |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gran Identidad |
30.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
American Halo |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cosita Rica |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Michelle’z Laugh |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Baylor |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sol Dat Sugar |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Helen Hayes |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Red Sails |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Psycho Girl |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grandtastic News |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dim Sum |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Amazing Grace |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vic |
30.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.