January 7, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blushing Reality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sea Holiday | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One Dollar | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookin At Grace | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Jewel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bing | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Misty | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Who Datawaki | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thunderberg | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Extra Credit | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Pulaski | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gentlmens Agrement | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grande Basin | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunker Down | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cristals Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | No Richie | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aggravator | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oater | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Army Grey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackpot Johnny | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spelletto | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Jackie Ems Pal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Off Cycle | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Tough Kicks | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Sammie’s Touch | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Shoes | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flowersforlady | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Vanishing Image | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Mac’s Honey | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Suppose So | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Rebel Woman | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Ide Biduadeau | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stackoleena | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Quarter Carat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lurey An | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabe Marcelete | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz One Fee | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anytime Baby | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commanding Action | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cash First | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smorgasbord | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Tito Tonight | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Mo Money | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby the Brain | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Right Lane Lukasz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Private Party | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alpha Bravo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Promises Broken | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Funny Holiday | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emily’s Entourage | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gris Gris | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How Sweet It Is | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Clipper | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Restless Spirit | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Blame | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Track Rose | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloak of Secrecy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drane Fame | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kabella | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lynah Rink | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Relativity | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And Isles | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Devine | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Castle Zip | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Moronette | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Spirit | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Grable Eyes | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nyla Girl | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beauley | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timebobanna | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Queen Olivia | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.