January 6, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Harper Bee |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Queenardini |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sergeant Sue |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rich Knows Rich |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Royalty |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zimm’s Lemon Drop |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Out Late |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kodiak Sky |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Eagle Rising |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Starook |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Cajun Bandit |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brie Brie’s Joy |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fireman Isaac Max |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Billiards |
2.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chatainbegood |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smooth Gallop |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bubba Ray’s Sun |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Holy Beau |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Campus Leader |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valid Prospector |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Valentine |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Abbie’s Parade |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
D’ Wildamber |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Baby B Gone |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Conspicuous Woman |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Minion Money |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boggidyboggidy |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Redtotherescue |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mylie Idel |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Septennial |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Lafitte’s Diamond |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Williamette Valley |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kiki Doo |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Day O |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Another Grey |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Lass |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Purple Parrot |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Labelhermyprayer |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Third Strike |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Threepeat |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sister’s Image |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Magnanimus Man |
1.40 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wickets Way |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daniel Road |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mister Ander |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Combat Command |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quiet Angliana |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Double Six Domino |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Witt Eight |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kiss Your Bride |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Hearted Factor |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Vow Me Over |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Jove Jove Dive |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Late Appointment |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Spicy Afleet |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Shez for You |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hicks Honey |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ide Stang You |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Summers Back |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Alibrooke |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Colonial Kendra |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Deborah |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mad Meg |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Jewels of Sorce |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Salute Lillian |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Flying Clever |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Cruising |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Give Me the Money |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Glitter O’Prado |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Best of Tess |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
C’Time |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Go Selma T |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Song of Dixie |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Go Ante |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proud Mission |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
7 |
Classic Greeley |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Resilience of Love |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
My Prophet |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
All About Interest |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1A |
8 |
Mallory’s Bandit |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Bill’s Production |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gratzie |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Kenai Star |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Heartland Hit |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Chasin Gracie |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – B-connected S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Grit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Biblical Strength |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Temprano |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Harbor Pilot |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rocketringo |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
9 |
Hook |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
No One Greater |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Social Misfit |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Just Stormin |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Who Datawaki |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Culp’s Hill |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paddy O’Lionel |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Her Love for Pappy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Luke’s Cajun Star |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Picadilly Roadster |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Prospector |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Proud Italian |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Galaxy Builder |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jack With Seven |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pee Wee Diablo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Our Jo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Loppa |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sassy Mallory |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rylee’s Grand Song |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Chickoree |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dixie Misty |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
My Pal Em |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Pay Me N Pennies |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rowdy’s Princess |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flaming Diva |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.