January 6, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Niko Strong | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Bustin | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Johnny | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Skittles | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wushu Warrior | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merger of Banks | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Open Bar | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motown Sound | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Try Flying | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigshotinthenews | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Soul | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Bond | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Cycle | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Sierra Sun | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Admission | 0.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Want Mo | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Big Or Go Home | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patrick’s Harp | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shoot the Gap | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infamy | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Your Buttons | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fooch | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Appealing Henry | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proletariat | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Tommy | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grassady | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benevolence | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Clause | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Formal Start | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bunyaan | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In Equality | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Union | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archie | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baratti | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilshire Star | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fielding Gold | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Orphan Miracle | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Breezy Gal | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Apollo | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Lightnin Strike | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12A | 12 | Sunshine Gal | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Starlite Mission | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Split Time | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lune Lake | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Lady Vicki | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iridescent Morn | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Daisy | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puffery | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Nanny | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundance Joy | 0.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Trinni | 0.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Set the Trappe | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holding Aces | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Special Story | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Karma | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Swing | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarf It Down | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuel the Bern | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Alfred | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Moon | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holland Road | 0.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Absatootly | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quezon | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderment | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Disguise | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Noteworthy | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Margarita | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Diamonds N Stones | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anna Rae | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quanique | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Passporttovictory | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jetsam Six | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Super | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bahnahno | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Gold | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirtydaysinjune | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Groton St Scout | 0.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Cold Out | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ola Gatita | 0.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.