January 5, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | She’s Got the Mojo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Red Hot Cherry | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Catty Krys | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom for Corales | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Miss Dreamsicle | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Boomtiderock | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Meg and Clair | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jus Wow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Singing Ontherail | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunna Get Even | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hannah Banana | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reece’s Dilemma | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floatie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Big Kick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Letthebigshot Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Blame Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Cutacorner | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Crescent Drive | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Tickle | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resilient Rick | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Consultation | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Bronco | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghurair | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peej | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Gabacho | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victory Shout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Deadly Ruler | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judge N Ruler | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whathadhappenwuz | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cajie’s Hope | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Henry’s Honey | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glory Train | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tiz de Lovely | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Mercken | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | N. D. Free | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shook | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Selene’s Argument | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Divorce | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Flor | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marida | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cook | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Notation | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Candle | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Play | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Pepe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burnt Bluff | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Zulu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Guest Suite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Thirstforlife | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Rhythm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | No Distortion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mo Tom | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chip Leader | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Mean Man | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Applicator | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Florida Won | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coco Mon | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Noon Rider | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Steel Shot | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trappezoid | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Aura | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potential Danger | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taruca | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undercover Lover | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Reality | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silis | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Salute the C | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | All Dat Brees | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Philly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rock N Sake | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunther | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D’ Kingfish | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princetonian | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Derek Fever | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whoz Talkin Now | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | True Flat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B B Special | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.