January 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Star Alert | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Oleta Inez | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Judy’s Jam | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moreta | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caroline’s Over It | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yonna She Goes | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inalyze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Unbridled | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Game | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zanesville | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Shock | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Stage Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bruhlmeyer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Tall Tony | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boogie Toogie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fear the Zodiac | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ocean Croissant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sensation Deal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Kiss of the Wolf | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bless All | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Skippinonthewall | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Robert’s Prince | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Believe in Us | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gimmeashot | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Boss Jack | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | D W Wingman | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | No Guts No Glory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Affirming | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Graceful | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Customized | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zacksgotthis | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethan’s Landing | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Armanno | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cook Some Rice | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Paint | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Najran | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Bob | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sure Thing Sheila | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Panoe | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Southern Gold | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cause You Can | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Parade | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bling It On Baby | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Bonne Margie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Ellie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pitcher | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pinker Bell | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | J J Queen | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Guess | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Grand Fashioned | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gentlemens Half | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valley of the Hide | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smoothforthemoney | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Si Familia | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zamidue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man of Bethel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burning It Up | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Birdman | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Jay Gee | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power and Grace | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stars R Out | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sin Llorar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | What a Shiner | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Help Is On the Way | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Zippo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Will Burn Tails | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Black N Gold | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cole’s My Champ | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T. Jay’s Holiday | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Destinator | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer’s Due | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Glitters | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lookout S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ski Tune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vivacious V. V. | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Legged Model | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pera | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hyper Piper | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glide Baby Glide | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Sid N Say | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenpins Tempo | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sunburned | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Belle | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty the Babe | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ardesia | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Magic | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sawyers Gray Girl | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Over | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Bobbie Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mona’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Intimidators Girl | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Castlederg | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Transformative | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thiscatsatalkin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shaboxxo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome J T | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Ballado | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Toccet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stanton C | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rare Rose Royce | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.