January 5, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forever Rising | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacqueline D | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cookin | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bank Elaboration | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tulips Galore | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiffany’s Vision | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mineralogy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Caretaker | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gehrig | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quai Voltaire | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Vow | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Side Tracks | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missle Bomb | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frozen Angel | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Bergen | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Startwithsilver | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Same Kinda Crazy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous Scholar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vicki’s Dancer | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barrier to Entry | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Simona | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Expense | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Card Doll | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parlapiano | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Bird | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Bountiful | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shezerfirst | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean Girl | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Daddy D T | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Altar Boy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J S Bach | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shalako | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mills | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raagheb | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poshsky | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirst for Victory | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Upstart | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Buzz | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Joy Drive | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run for James | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vilma | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Zeus | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halloween Horror | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | California Swing | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheyenne Bull | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karma Delight | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devine Dental | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brianbakescookies | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | E J’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backyard Heaven | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Broken Engagement | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Buff | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Donji | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland River | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Prophet | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Midway | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trinni Juice | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pequeno Grande | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backstretch George | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Block | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tweallgetalong | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purring On Empty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Analyst | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Not Funny | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.