January 4, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red La Rosa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Surprenante | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ellen Maria | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dollar Dancer | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reese’s Glory | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bettyblue | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Philly | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | John’s Luck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Wonder Run | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Flavin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sea Vow | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Hail to the Nile | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jack Snipe’s | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | King Bandit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | C U Tiger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neon Sky | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tune My Guitar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Joey Why | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pops Legacy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ipidate | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Time | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Blue Choice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | M C Squared | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Snip | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danny’s Turbo | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Dejavu | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jax Heritage | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Beat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Emerald Forest (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Friendship | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Made to Fit | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Half Fast Rose | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookout Mountain | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pinking of You | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Touch | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purely Blessed | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minister of War | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Lynn | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Callmeonmycellfone | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Ticket | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Stride | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minister’s Strike | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Cross | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Methuselah | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boyfriend Brian (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K Kash | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Explorer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizztic Tale | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Five Small | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ty’s Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Good Gosh Gene | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Politicallycorrect | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dance Caller | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stihl Harbor | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bluegrass Sight | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lukie Joe | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punch Express | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freakonthelead | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pentafecta | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sworn Silence | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Taylor’s Princess | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katie’s Reward | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streetlady | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s All Skeet | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Santino | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Dame | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waki Patriot | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tattle Tail Sue | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | E. T. Lane | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pound of Hundreds | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Rebel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thats Roger Song | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Bird | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Sal Go | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carson’s Katie | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.