January 1, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Clear | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factor This | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glennwood | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Engineers Report | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Split Time | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s My Catiecat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Dreams | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jurere | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anne’s Song | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rozina | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Disguise | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riot Worthy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frostie Anne | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Wise | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Allison | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Acoustic | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Oahu | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Expresso | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Empire (GB) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Emperor | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peculiar Sensation | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helical Spring | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Guy Ian | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blaze’n Prospector | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marriage Fever | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major League | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Heater | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bar None | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puppy Manners | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lyrical Miracle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Management | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz R Bella | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridledadventure | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Playinwiththeboys | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connie A | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robin’s Destiny | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dune Buggy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Discreet | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preziosa | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seven Trumpets | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firenze Fire | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond King | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Revival | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth B | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regalian | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Millionaire Runner | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Incubator | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoard | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyamisolucky | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s New Moon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hong Kong Gardens | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reign Charger | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Pirate | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | James Ciro | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Golden | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.