December 30, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Pacific Strike | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | End of Now | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer’s Indy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Wins | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Heroine | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sutro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bunny Yogurt | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Himmah (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Be Ready | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spend Spend Spend | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Atlantic | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Fran | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gal Factor | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seattle Drop | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Restoring Hope | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Soot | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regulate | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Guard | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Morning | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Dude | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sam Slick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pundy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oopper Wallah | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Informality | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dad’s a Gambler | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenny Benny | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devils Informer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Ranger | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chin Tu | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yo La Tengo | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penjade (FR) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Responsibleforlove (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laseen (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gliding By | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Cowden | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Juice | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fabrication | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ridgefield Rocket | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salsa King | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Ruler | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Johnny Ringo | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | You Decide | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | When Jesus Walked | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadillac Express | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Kidding | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Donworth | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sheer Flattery | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kristi’s Copilot | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Street | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beaumarchais | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Avanti Bello | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | For Greater Glory | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Camino de Estrella | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kid Charming | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sanavi | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rymska (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Daddys Lil Darling | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | New Money Honey | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madam Dancealot (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Duchess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kathy’s Song | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Coachwhip | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernina Star | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Midnight Lute S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Masochistic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Image | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Americanize | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calculator | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Bird | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solid Wager | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ohio (BRZ) | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tough Sunday | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ike Walker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fishel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gonna Fly Now | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rye Patch | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lewis Vale | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comes the Dream | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Americain | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buymeabond | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Orino | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ebadan (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Airlite | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Urban Bourbon | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.