December 29, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maga Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Aw Shucks | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Future Ruler | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle At Sea | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half of Tip Tap | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Luwegee | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tee’s Black Irish | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cotton Eye Gem | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Starship Journey | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Seduction | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Score | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lucky | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Express Yourself | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rallyonmarion | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notional Star | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secrets of Summer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Track Teller | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Claymaker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tashreeh | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Tale of Beaucette | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Firespike | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Galatasaray | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Taking Charge | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curzon Street | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Threat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Fitzgerald | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Louisiana Voodoo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sabe Marcelete | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carlena | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smartfromthegitgo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Skin Deep | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yella Wally Gator | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Fais Do Do | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Roast | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fuhr a Slam | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starfish Point | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlotte’s Wish | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Boat | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Back At It | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daylight Deelite | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alys Grand | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Queendom | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Bid | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Sensation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monkah | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazon Warrior | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Social Icon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Caroline Conquest | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swanky Princess | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rainwalker | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Giant | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tessa’s Treat | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Superstar Leo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medal of Courage | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alabama Tide | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demands Attention | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Charro | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Medicine | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Last of the Luck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Custom Ridge | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iron Grip | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Ready Again | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pal Kay | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zebedee Zered | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treys Midnite Moon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.