December 28, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Burando | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Star Rocket | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arnaud | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speedy Chorde | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Date | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coffee Cup | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crown the Barber | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fuhrious Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Ty Diesel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | May B | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bushrod | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Imposter | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avanzare | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aurora’s Kid | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon Candy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | James and Company | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rivzinthehouse | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concho | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Trukarma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | U S S Altair | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Heart | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boomer’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Left Coast Dreams | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Xanto | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Teeth | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Young Corbett | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Million | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lute Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lovemelikeyoudo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Finding Value | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Creative Thinking | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Looks Super | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Move | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunoof | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty’s Way | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amen Sista | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Holiday (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dorfman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gridiron Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz too Much | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Flatter the Queen | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Battle Colors | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Samargo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Clockwork King | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Eights Wild | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Spartanburg | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lookout Mountain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Minister of War | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Flowersforlady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cinco Cinco Diez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Moonlightnmidnight | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lunarstrike | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eskenformore | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Zuzor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiley Briley | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Guitar Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romance in Vegas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Girl | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun English | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Native Wahoo | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mink Coat Mimi | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tap City Danzer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alaskan Causeway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Total Cooperation | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lawton | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ukuru | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Take the Count | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One River Place | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aggravator | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | War Tom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Killeen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | New Colossus | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Savage Nation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Souper Shenanigan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dragon Drew | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chuck’s Dream | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Making a Marc | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bora Bora | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Geyser | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mine My Time | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Special Forces | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zip Your Lip | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dialect | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Wonderful Dream | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncail | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Queen Olivia | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Hope | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Open Interest | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kylie’s Cutie | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ide Be Silly | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beadsinthetrees | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Idea | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shatorah | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timebobanna | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sorcerer’s Appeal | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.