December 26, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dewyalovemenow | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surprenante | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeful Joy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ulm | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartbreak Hill | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Dollar | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Loves Leather | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ellen Maria | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Luxe | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Ice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Garrison K | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Touchofchilipepper | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Highland Park Hero | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Drop of Wine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Cash | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Here’s Paco | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dirty Diamonddeeds | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Daddy’s Memory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lucy B | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Desert Image | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | She’s Coal Fired | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tough Kicks | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Meetmeforasmoke | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Run to Glory | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kingston Terrace | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Angie’s Prim Lady | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mango’s Muse | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Go Goose | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mill Falls | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Charlie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Henny | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Actif Storm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Golden Girl | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Causation | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanishing Image | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ease On West | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Star Performer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B’s Ten | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carson’s Prospect | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Treaty Pat | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backstage Star | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember Daisy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creole Wildfire | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shezaffirmedbeauty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saintly Cry | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Private Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Vibe | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Be Good | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purgenality | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santa Americana | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sammy Mandeville | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo Money | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K Kash | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carnoustie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Taichung Bobby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Super Factor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Treys Midnite Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ryman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Woulda Coulda Did | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Create Again | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bully Dos | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celerity | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sanimo | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vanquish | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perin the Pirate | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blues Tour | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magistro | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silver Giant | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antrim’s Giant | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fighting for Grace | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imma Bling | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Partly Mocha | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Whiskey Bravo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Infinite Mischief | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Will Call | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Diamondmaze | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Kissthatbabygoodby | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Control Stake | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Voodoo Spell | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Warrior’s Kid | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tiffany Lass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valadorna | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show Stealer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Flower | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alotta Skirt | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Promise of Spring | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mannerly | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thoughtless | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Problems | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motown Lady | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Spring | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steel Cut | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | No Distortion | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Out of Aces | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forevamo | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Albano | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Casses Story | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret House | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Vow | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aces High | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Roux | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | O’L Red | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hitter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | From Now On | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Inferno | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Tristan | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Horace Charles | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cowboy City | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.