December 21, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Delores | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K K’s Princess | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frenzy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amore’s Prayer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavoyageuse Time | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enfestar | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fee Do | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hotfoot | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mistake Present | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vittorioso | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Drifter | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carson Kan | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Behroozed Up | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Lawman | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarpys Zapper | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Untethered Soul | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runningdowndreams | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Miss | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red La Rosa | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Her Up | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ide Better Move | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mil Mil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rise Above It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Diamonds for Leah | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Back Page Star | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queenofthepalace (NZ) | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indypendent Deputy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ursula Andress (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onemorefastdance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maryblueeyes | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Majestique | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whispering Justice | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Brahms | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Commitment | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Again | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandlot Sam | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spasini | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wathnan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Spring | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad and Tough | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 14 | Cutacorner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Philoctetes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Woodmans Luck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Mr. Tickle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | El Charro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Six Schillings | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Italian Charm | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Key | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Generous Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crescent Drive | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Consultation | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mineyerownmalone | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ransack | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Such a Tease | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teletap | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clearly Super | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combustible | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Eminence | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike the Flag | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Precocious Moon | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lynah Rink | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Marquee Moment | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Starving Artist | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Play | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flawless Ekati | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brenda’s Fever | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipped | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Act | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ruthless Child | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Call Me Sidney | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Too Dim | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Made to Fit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Cajun | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Danny T | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | River Pride | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Cast | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Gentleman Len | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Darylslittleengine | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Our Rapidash | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | My Buddy Chuck | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.