December 21, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sunset Empire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Clever Wit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Run Missy Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Valentine | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Laila’s Jewel | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conspicuous Woman | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes a Texan | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebecca’s Rabbit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sissy Lee | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Primal Past | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Redtotherescue | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Tuner | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Randinsky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M. B.’s Vow | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toomuch | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mimi’s Bella Alarm | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Peace | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crowned Style | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Appointment | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gettothepoint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blowin Your Mind | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glorious Day | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Cowgirl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Easter Lily | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Angel | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Bayou | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keelies Tea Party | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thegrayspider | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Wekati | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One King’s Rose | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rey Zarbyev | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hop In | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Thats It Imleaving | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Pioneering Native | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shaboxxo | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zapper Bill | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Primary Patrick | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Howe Amazing | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cody Cody | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keystones Strike | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Kitten | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Yankee | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moneyinmypocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Father George | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Down | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Level Temper | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Chatain | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Earned | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landman | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Relentless Attack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loottool | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Bin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shermaesque Flag | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Calmack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’m a C Looker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tapster | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zargaux | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alex’s Turn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gotta Go First | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theclassprayer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Song for Arch | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Peck Run | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gardner’s Song | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manofsass | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Have No Que | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bandit for Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mile R Meaux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Im a Cowboy Too | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Game for Sissys | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tammany Parkway | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Wined Up | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bushido Samurai | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whoajoey | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halfflatt | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brown’s Monkey | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’sagraciouslady | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sibling War | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Dead Red | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glide Baby Glide | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purely Blessed | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alpha Sue | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crown and Seven | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J J Queen | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cause You Can | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Affair | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Betty the Babe | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Sprouted Gold | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Belle | 1.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Over | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This One Is Bills | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sawyers Gray Girl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Intimidators Girl | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Hold | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missie’s Wild Card | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 11 | Espresso Lite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Cashmere Bliss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Swanky | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mac’s Monster | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Royalty | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drama Specialist | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | L. A. Coliseum | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Kitty Kitty | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 9 | Light Up the Devil | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dixie Doris | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Brave Daisey | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Candyontherise | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.