December 20, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Drama Box |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Augustus Maximus |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bold Bulldog |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fear the Zodiac |
1.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Gimmeashot |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Now Mind You |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eight Bar Blues |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain’s Song |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocean Croissant |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
D W Wingman |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaye’s Mr Bling |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bendyls Picq Me |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Su Elegancia |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keeker |
1.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Lil Rebel |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Reina Isabel |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Septennial |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Net’s All N |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coop N Nugget |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Salute the Street |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Risky Steps |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vox Populi |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
War Dude |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Whiskers |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lass Song |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Man Behind the Bar |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run to Fame |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Henry |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jac’s All Mine |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Church of England |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Randy Paul |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Carmens Catcher |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dry Wood Creek |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Do Guess Again |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
So Sorry Ruston |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Yankee Hunter |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Runnin Sky |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leavethetip |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cajun Daddy |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentlemens Half |
10.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jade Star |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
My Sharp Pal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Song and a Saint |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rockin Royalty |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Copper Lady |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ailish’s Buttercup |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ojos Corazon |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twist Tail |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fine N On Time |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maggie True |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shiplap |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Campus Leader |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Jus Rad |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Lucame |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Eagle Rising |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Equilizer |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starook |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thunder Alley |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Clasifrontier |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Redding |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ride a Saint |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zartan |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jonny’s Emerald |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Linnie Laurine |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Colonial Kendra |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Sunny Sister |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Shez for You |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Betitallwithpaul |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Tsunami Girl |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Alibrooke |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ide Stang You |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Favorite Promise |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
7 |
E Lee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
A We Bit Flirty |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Musical America |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Quiet Dude |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Donwell |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Moroccan Warrior |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1A |
3 |
Walker’s Way |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Stage Show |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
1 |
Stick |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
2 |
At Your Word |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Meseta Diablo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Whiskey Tree |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bluegrass Punch |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hey Bro |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Kick |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Four Leaf Chief |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Silver Spun |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
U S Officer |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Minister Henny |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Slippers |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
La Zota D’ Oros |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Kelleri |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
7 |
C C’s Baby Girl |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
8 |
Honor’s Parade |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Miss Rippinlips |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Straight |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
9 |
Mula Stalker |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Jo |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Princess Gianna |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom Storm |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Joy’s Rally Finale |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.