December 18, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good by Me | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swingstage | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wiggins | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D. K. Two Step | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loud | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island King | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elementary | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parseghian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Never Stop Looking | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grande Shores | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Adversary | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E. M. Maximus | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Step Closer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merry’s Honor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legend Keeper | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guns and Rosies | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Him With Him | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jovis | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrivederci | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Free to Trump | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whiskey Wu | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kukulkan | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivegotthatmagicnme | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conjecture | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Forever | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anissa | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Claravoyant | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proudly | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blondie Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got a Shot | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Chance | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Chesa Charm | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Springtime Wind | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sinai Inspired | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay West | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lost On the Stairs | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Private Drama | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Headed Woman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uronmymind | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Egyptian Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nosy | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeing’n’believing | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Terp | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ignite | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garden Games | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Maiden | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Expectations | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tomo Chachi | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nicaradalic Rocks | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Iron Bank | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burford | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Spaceman | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willow Bob | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurler | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Rock | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prevailing Party | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frisky Whiskey | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untaken | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shirleys Curls | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sneaky Betty | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Total Temper | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackson S | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | D. S. Boyd | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Break the Mold | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brute Force | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A True Gentleman | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Roydboy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Isofass | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Wrote the Script | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Seven | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Adrian | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.