December 17, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Labeq | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Augustine | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factor This | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Lincoln | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Boss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bridey’s Kitten | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pragmatist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Triangulate | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Accumulator | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whyamisolucky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ego | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catch Twenty Two | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bannon | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Curlin’s New Moon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Boy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foreset | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brimstone | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Prophet | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond the Green | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zabaione | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Kelly Go | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lune Lake | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scatback | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Girl | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Jen Brady | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Nanny | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nyromaniac | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Buzz | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milo Milo (ARG) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Eagle’s Return | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fratello Del Nord | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lazarus Project | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Major League | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Big Zip | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nominal Dollars | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marriage Fever | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puppy Manners | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glowing Ember | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bear Clause | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Terry O Geri | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For Pops | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dublinthepleasure | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Tommy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lou Pal | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Surprise | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Heart | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Start | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stoney Bennett | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inalienable Rights | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dezzer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belleville Spring | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Bunt | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Kid | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aqua Bel Sar | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Irish Glitter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Missimpazi | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Parlapiano | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | She’s Delightful | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J C S Star | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Fit | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Last Million | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vip Nation | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Rashelle | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.