December 16, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Zippo | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preston’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chat Rat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gueydan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cole’s My Champ | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s Affair | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andy Man | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Thief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Arlen’s Prospect | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Kelcorcee | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mack’s Champ | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Condominium | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Run My Pal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Andy’s Production | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sin Llorar | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black N Gold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabanator | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Sue | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Daniel Road | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoe’s to Remember | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strollin Spree | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kiss Your Bride | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maceo Rojo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elbert | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Happy Fats | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Boomer’s Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stout’cannon | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Panzer | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revenueneutral | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | State Treasurer | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valid Objection | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lanies Choice | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Production | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Forefather | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Singer | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Czarmo | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toast to Don | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off On Holiday | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northpine | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Bird | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bookout | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandana Heat | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandi Bo Dandy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stars R Out | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leroidesdanse | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Lotto | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | D’wildsummersfun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Valiant City | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Inspire Courage | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Harbor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bee Jay Gee | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Friends With Money | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of Honour | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silver Planet | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fiddlers Dance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shunned | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Play the Field | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Give Me the Money | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Clever | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skipadee Due Da | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Holiday | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Doll | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Frances | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skeeter | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U. S. Sterling | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Stroll | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fly Into Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Garlic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Salty Martini | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Miss Sid N Say | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Striking Femme | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wildcat Springs | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thegoodwitch | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wave Goodbye | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cats Beauty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vow Me Over | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deborah | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avery Lynn | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds and Oil | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Meg | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lafitte’s Diamond | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betty Grable Eyes | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Fashioned | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gunther | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz a Par | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Amerocko | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | He’s a Super Jet | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Witt Stamp | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Boogie Miester | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jubal | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Go Poppa Go | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lydgate | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Richard | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.