December 15, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Legendary Larry | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Master | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Place Remembered | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay the Dream | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Viento | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Formeredith | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunburned | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Cruising | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy’s Wager | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Party | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midge’s Magic | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gibby’s Spot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Franca’s Honor | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theboyzgalaxy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Gig | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatdatpay Ray | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monsieur Brown | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freddieslilwildcat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Colliery | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hermano T K | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combat Command | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool With Swagger | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proper Romance | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pray You Catch Me | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fonda Carlos | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liba | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scottish Bu | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine Mine | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hannah Bell | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Dixie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixieland Flash | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Shaw | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Star Guitarist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Great Rebel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Lady | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Way Up | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tiffany Ofthe Nile | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wewoka | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smok’n Rita | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | K P Anna | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Howe Amazing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Run Like Elle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stratocruiser | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Envoy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Forty Two | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Hullen | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Thomas | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Value | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Low Places | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Pay | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Rocket Man | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Empty Pages | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Fleet | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best of Tess | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeni Lynn’s Pet | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doc’s Rocket | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Scottish Run | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cute Little Mess | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Silky Stone | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C’Time | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Miss Sid N Say | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Fantasy Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Vieja Luna | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Lorretta | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Its a Journey | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Night Parade | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Panoe | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Believeinsomething | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ski Tune | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Social Doll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Suppose So | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Overthegardengate | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flatter Up | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bling It On Baby | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fiji D | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nadia Anne | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mine Yours an Ours | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinker Bell | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Yes Babe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Song | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Quest | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I B Sweet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crimson Santo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Along Came Macey | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Crusader Lady | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swamp Production | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kowboy’s Secret | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Kriss | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better in Boots | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.