December 15, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Saratoga | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Givetheman a Cigar | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J J’s Dreaming | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Warrior | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crash Mountain | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Micozzi | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disruptor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Schott | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot the Gap | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlout | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Express | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Home Run Maker | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roaming Union | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marconi | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mathematician | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonely Weekend | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoard | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | James Ciro | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simona | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promise Me Roses | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asiliveandbreathe | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Disguise | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Withaflourish | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s Wattever | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sand City | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pray for Bourbon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passporttovictory | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jump for Joy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strawberry Tequila | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirst for Truth | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laniakea | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Taoiseach | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Unbridled Daddy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clowney | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Bigluck E | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Indy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cody’s Notes | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holy Week | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kerry Boy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Court Dancer | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palladian Bridge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timely Tradition | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unrepented | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alabama Bound | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zealous Scholar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deep Sea | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thaddeus | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fielding Gold | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotham News | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilshire Star | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rossie Val | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cliffs of Dover | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scatoga | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Jonas | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.