Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 15, 2017

December 15, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Battle of Saratoga 1.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Givetheman a Cigar 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 J J’s Dreaming 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Roman Warrior 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Crash Mountain 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Micozzi 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Disruptor 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Missle Bomb 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Schott 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Shoot the Gap 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Curlout 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Big Auk 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Latin Love Bug 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Dublin Express 50.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Home Run Maker 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Roaming Union 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Marconi 1.40 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mathematician 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lonely Weekend 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hoard 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 James Ciro 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Simona 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Promise Me Roses 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Asiliveandbreathe 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Midnight Disguise 2.00 4 7-1
6 6 Withaflourish 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Here’s Wattever 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sand City 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Pray for Bourbon 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Passporttovictory 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Jump for Joy 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Strawberry Tequila 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Thirst for Truth 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Laniakea 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Taoiseach 5.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Unbridled Daddy 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Clowney 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Conquest Bigluck E 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Charming Indy 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cody’s Notes 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Holy Week 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Kerry Boy 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Court Dancer 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Palladian Bridge 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Timely Tradition 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Unrepented 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Alabama Bound 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Zealous Scholar 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Deep Sea 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Thaddeus 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Fielding Gold 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Gotham News 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Wilshire Star 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Rossie Val 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Cliffs of Dover 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Scatoga 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Honorable Jonas 20.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.