December 14, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Special Dividend | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frostie Anne | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Objective Complete | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Ruby | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Halo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acquainted | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timeless Beauty | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gangbusters | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Gem | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird Key | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Foreign Affair | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic War | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Eighty Eight | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Legacy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Flirt | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mojito Margarita | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morgan’s Z Va | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenacious Rose | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Chaos | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angry Moon | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Do Share | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lex Vegas | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candid Desire | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Deed to the Bank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Bug | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Got the Gist | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forever Rising | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Mikayah | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dune Buggy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chapel Party | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bank Elaboration | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In It for the Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Honor Way | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harkness | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Come Dancing | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bow Town Cat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz the Light | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play Me a Memory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Food | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Rae Anna | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hopper Dropper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Forge | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | May Be a Diamond | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble and True | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Light the Vow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asphalt Paving | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mineralogy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holland Road | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.