December 13, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Your Buttons | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seethisquick | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Arrow | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Papi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Belief | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shidoshi | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tizsomethingroyal | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hold Me Down | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flick of an Eye | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bounty | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maddizaskar | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring for More | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buy for Less | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldmakesmesmile | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Punch | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlisle Belle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Creek | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldtown | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiral Bound | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magari | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mazmania | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Promise | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Singer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Fast to Pass | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bar None | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bear Clause | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drover Crazy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Callant | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Prevails | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Valyrian | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gorelli | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Miss My Father | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Town | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gehrig | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casigordo | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nut Nut | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incorporate | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Scholar | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gorgeous Charli | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portfolio Manager | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cinderela El Crome | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curtis | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foreset | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Triangulate | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Accumulator | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ego | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bannon | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch Twenty Two | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pragmatist | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purring On Empty | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s New Moon | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Boy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.