December 10, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Toohottoevenspeak | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combat Controller | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirst for Victory | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helical Spring | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Orphan Miracle | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Talkless Smilemore | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hoponthebusgus | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Fahan Mura | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Andesine | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Winner’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wish Upon | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lands Down Street | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Christmas Sky | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sharpe and Ready | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Holland Park | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | California Night | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moritz | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Golden | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peace Speaker | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backyard Heaven | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Side | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unforeseeable | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quintus Augustus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ekhtibaar | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostwalker | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ode to the Hunt | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mutaraamy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Traveler | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Iron | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mydadfloyd | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Causeway | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Independent Worker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carlino | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Zeus | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broken Engagement | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T R Crew | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hookup | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karma Delight | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Same Kinda Crazy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arietta | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nothingbutasmile | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rock Ave. Road | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffanys Freud | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Laura’s Patriot | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freudee | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Amber Dancer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Verdant Pastures | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Miss Grey | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirstforthecup | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Frost | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Felini | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Impazible Woman | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Burkey’s Babe | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paz the Wine | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tough Old Bird | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Field | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amanda Lane | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Verona Blue | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Livia | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Girl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Frost | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Event | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.