December 7, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Emma’s Gift |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
4 |
Su Elegancia |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Careless Whisper |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sunny Sister |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Tsunami Girl |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Cat Who Dat |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Colonial Kendra |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
I Hope |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Cherry Laurel |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Betty the Babe |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Take Over |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Spirit of Acadiana |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Missie’s Wild Card |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Striscetta |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ms Sprouted Gold |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sawyers Gray Girl |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Poquito Britches |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Val’s Pal |
3.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
This One Is Bills |
4.50 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Intimidators Girl |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cajun Bandit |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mighty T |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Spring Rodeo |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Beerjoint |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Chasing a Saint |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cash for Glory |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tiz the Blues |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Late Again |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Whooz the King |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Debriyn |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Double Down |
4.50 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Fooling Jay |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Keeker |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Tizmyday |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Angel in My Eyes |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Wild Lil Rebel |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
My Ruston |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Septennial |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Unveil |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Threepeat |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Pure Tsu Tsu |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Abama Light |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Majestic Grace |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Diablo Gris |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Cudda Binn a Tizzy |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Pepper Ann |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Uknowiaintlying |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Honest Star |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Skip Away |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Out Late |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Te Na Na |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Williamette Valley |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ringneckdove |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
War Spirit |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Day O |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Late Appointment |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Labelhermyprayer |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Simigrande |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Romance in Vegas |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Little Tami |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rallyonmarion |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Third Strike |
4.50 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Quick Draw Ronnie |
15.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Mickey |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Christopher Cat |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Arctic Tribe |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Drewsizzle |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tee Brown |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Joe |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Run Bayou |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
T. Jay’s Holiday |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Summer’s Due |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Stump |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rock N Sake |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Temprano |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
C U Tiger |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sir Genghis |
1.40 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Queeten |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Zackarooney |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Aaron’s Bluff |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Bear’s Big Boy |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Posse Dreamin |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Danny’s Turbo |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wicked Proud |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Top Cat Boogie |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
River Pride |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Senor Grits |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Top Cat’s Best Bet |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Art Vandaley |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Private Reality |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cristianstorm |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Backyard Hero |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Humor’s Reward |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Crushem Tank |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ella’s Actor |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Soldiers Letter |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Coffee Cup |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Star Time |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.