Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 4, 2017

December 4, 2017 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Sir Runaway Isaac 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 The Real Queen B 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Shimmie Horn 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jodys Point 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ailanis Little Bay 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Brewster the Rooster 5.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Holiday H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Chicks Fast Farley 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Quattro Dude 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Eyes Movin 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Win Surfer 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bh Country Chrome 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Wanna Be Fierce 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bitaheaven 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Time for a Memory 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Portray Ur Vision 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Nightwalker 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Wise 15.00 4 8-1 Scr
3 3 Call Me Cinderella 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cassidy Command 6.00 5 9-1
6 5 Goldimax 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Crater Lake H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Ontheshadyside 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Grinder Sparksaglo 1.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Dynamic Scoring 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Papa Frank 1.60 4 8-1
5 5 Oldtimers Vision 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Party for One 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Who Dee Knee 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Picasso’s Mandolin 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ragtime Beat 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Meet At Jakes 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Spanish Empire 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Frisky Britches 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Secret Mark 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 C Me Roar 15.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Vita Luna 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Kisses for Tonkaa 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Highland Rose 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sassafrass 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Rosie’s Way 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Red Head Red 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bea Demands 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Lordy Shes Perfect 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Kings Court 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Seeking a Mystery 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Wise Tale 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Behr Strike 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Parker’s Behr Cat 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Osmosis 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Scarpitta 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 National Browser 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Knife River 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 American Rhiannon 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 See the Lite 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Shot of Reality 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Agua de Fuego 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Milady’s Secret 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Manos Arriba 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 If Ur Not Early 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Chester Bellwether 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Magarita Man 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 V F Beestrong 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Coastal Roar 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Eiger’s Thorn 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Walkin Indy 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Arrastrando Cobija 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 In Absolute Awe 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Manila Customer 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.