December 4, 2017 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sir Runaway Isaac |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Real Queen B |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shimmie Horn |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jodys Point |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ailanis Little Bay |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Brewster the Rooster |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Holiday H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Chicks Fast Farley |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quattro Dude |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Eyes Movin |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Win Surfer |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bh Country Chrome |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wanna Be Fierce |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bitaheaven |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Time for a Memory |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Portray Ur Vision |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Nightwalker |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wise |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Call Me Cinderella |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cassidy Command |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Goldimax |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Crater Lake H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ontheshadyside |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grinder Sparksaglo |
1.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dynamic Scoring |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Papa Frank |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Oldtimers Vision |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Party for One |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Who Dee Knee |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Picasso’s Mandolin |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ragtime Beat |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Meet At Jakes |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Spanish Empire |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Frisky Britches |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Secret Mark |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
C Me Roar |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Vita Luna |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kisses for Tonkaa |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Highland Rose |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sassafrass |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rosie’s Way |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Red Head Red |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bea Demands |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lordy Shes Perfect |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Kings Court |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Seeking a Mystery |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wise Tale |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Behr Strike |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Parker’s Behr Cat |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Osmosis |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Scarpitta |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
National Browser |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Knife River |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
American Rhiannon |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
See the Lite |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shot of Reality |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Agua de Fuego |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Milady’s Secret |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Manos Arriba |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
If Ur Not Early |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Chester Bellwether |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Magarita Man |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
V F Beestrong |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Coastal Roar |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Eiger’s Thorn |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Walkin Indy |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Arrastrando Cobija |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
In Absolute Awe |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Manila Customer |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.