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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 2, 2017

December 2, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Cullasaja King 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Partner’s Power 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Roanie 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Colonnello 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Blazin Drama 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Naked Lies 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Honey Fields 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Luna d’Avril 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Star Studded 4.00 2.7 5-1
1A 7 Haveaniceweekend 2.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
2 1 I Am On My Way 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Wilma Lynn 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Exotic Appeal 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 6 Joe’s Gift 2.50 6 11-1
3 2 C W Road 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 I’m Sleeping In 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Gold Heist 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 River Miss 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Gables Girl 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lady Brevet 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Red Brook Road 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miss Star Lo 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Distinctive Dyna 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Baby Cat 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 1 Chasing Twilight 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 J R Jellybean 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Hurry Up Alan 3.00 3.7 7-1
11 10 Steve Came Thru 5.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Awake At T Wire 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Nick’s Posse 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Lure of the South 20.00 8 15-1 Scr
7 6 Here Comes Gary 10.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Edger Jones 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Bluegrass Demon 20.00 10 19-1 Scr
5 4 Forest Friends 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Hodor 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Don Lupe 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Degrom 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Secret Secret 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 8 Grit’n’grind 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 4 Monaco 5.00 5.7 11-1
1A 7 Open Bar 5.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Tactical Plan 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 3 Retrograde 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 2 Avast Matey 3.00 2.3 4-1
1A 5 Mr. Brix 2.50 3.7 7-1 Scr
5 4 Bluegrass Express 4.00 4 8-1
2 1 Ebo Strong 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Thirst for Victory 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Nicaradalic Rocks 6.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
7 6 Play It Again 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Mama Jones 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Risque’s Diamond 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Firey Diamond 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Authoritative 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sweet Maggie Mae 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Checkbouncin Billy 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Aussie Mist 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Billygets Arrested 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Shinkansen 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Prince Lucky 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Tudox Expectations 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 American Talent 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Smooth B 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jw’strickymischief 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Little Siete 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Viking Raider 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Johnny Crickets 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 I Am the Man 3.00 1 2-1 Scr
5 4 Return of a Giant 3.50 2 4-1
3 2 Right Ben 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Billy Lion Heart 10.00 5 9-1
10 9 Don’tsellhimshort 20.00 6 11-1
7 6 My Cotton Jones 15.00 7 13-1
8 7 Heroic Indeed 20.00 7.7 14-1
12 11 True to His Word 8.00 8 15-1
9 8 Bestbandever 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 10 His Reins of Fire 15.00 9 17-1
6 5 Love and Care 12.00 10 19-1
4 3 Sergeant J W R 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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