December 2, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wyeth | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Keep Talking | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Vittorioso | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Aktabantay (GB) | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Stand and Cheer | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Diamondmaze | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Voodoo Spell | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Warrior’s Kid | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Ironclad | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Vow | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superstar Leo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Bellarmine | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speightsong | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Two Gun Jak | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Alabama Tide | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Draxhall Woods | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Lu Lu | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sea Holiday | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Royal Luxe | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hopeful Joy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dewyalovemenow | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ellen Maria | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin At Grace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bless d’Cat | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Richard Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Triple Chelsea | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Last Shot | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snack Shack | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Scatter Gun | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtless | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Excessivespending | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Two Wonders | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chanteline | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Valor | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Bunny | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Too Dim | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Cast | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Smoothmoney | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 2 | Royal Mocha | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Ide | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Cajun | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Legion | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hollywood Royal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wild About Star | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tizahandful | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Image | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maluku | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elandess | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Asscher | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Vicki | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Embrace | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Snip | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Chicory | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Surprenante | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Caroline Test | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Our Lucky Break | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quarter Carat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Loretta | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Paint Job | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red La Rosa | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Foolish Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Golden Girl | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Thousand Tears | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Richard Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Luvin Bullies | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nite Delite | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Rhythm | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sky Flower | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burma Road | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nobody’s Fault | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Bam Bing | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Surprise | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | World Peace | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Contributing | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Delightfully | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Betty Booyah | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Bid | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Preacher Joplin | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amazon Warrior | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Queendom | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Late for Church | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Il Est Vite | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Made to Fit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Cajun | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Wild Dancer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Heart Legend | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncommon Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tooth | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Due | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bet On Black | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shaniko’s Secret | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.