December 2, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Black Sea (FR) |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hit It Once More |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Toughest ‘Ombre |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Memories of Peter |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shalako |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Soluble (GER) |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
War Bond |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Anna Rae |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Leah’s Dream |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Bahnahno |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Fair Regis |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Woundwithhereyes |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ola Gatita |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Thirtydaysinjune |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Rullah |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Persky’s Spirit |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shezastraybullet |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Nonna’s Boy |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Captain Dixie |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
McIlroy |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mambo At the Gym |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bow Tie Affair |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2A |
2 |
Docs Legacy (IRE) |
2.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Paid Admission |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
How’s Your Sugar |
12.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Any Questions |
2.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Point Hope |
2.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Buddy’s Tiz |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9B |
8 |
Smokey Brown |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
13B |
13 |
Two Down One to Go |
15.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Climb the Ladder |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Iridescent Morn |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
She’s Delightful |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Nazay |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Martini Momma |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Forty Winds |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lune Lake |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Frederica |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Headfirst |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Pretty River |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Card Doll |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Nyromaniac |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Thea Afroditi |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Minsky Moment |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Vintage Matters |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gucci Factor |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Follow the Signs |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
New Jersey John |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Clutch Cargo |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
River Knight |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pocket Player |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Wondermeister |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Highway Star |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Verve’s Tale |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucy N Ethel |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jamyson ‘n Ginger |
1.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Flora Dora |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Going for Broke |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Indulgent |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Cathy Naz |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Scatback |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Silverado Mist |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Straw Hat |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Anne’s Song |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Stonefactor |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Lightnin Strike |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lady Rozina |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Summer Squeeze |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rachel’s Blue Moon |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
J C S Star |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dark Tricks |
20.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Barrel of Destiny |
20.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Beautiful Chaos |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Wonder Gadot |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Layla Noor |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Daisy |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Held Accountable |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Indy Union |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Maurer Power |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Vindictive Ways |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Stakes On a Plane |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Remsen S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Catholic Boy |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Avery Island |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
V. I. P. Code |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Vouch |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Alkhaatam |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Triple Dog Dare |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bandito |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Biblical |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Tap Rap Strike |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Millionaire Runner |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Sharp Azteca |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mind Your Biscuits |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Americanize |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Beasley |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Practical Joke |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tom’s Ready |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Seymourdini |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Just Call Kenny |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Vulcan’s Forge |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Summer Revolution |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.