November 30, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caniform | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driven by Thunder | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buddy Anthony | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Jonas | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Union | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Throw the Deuce | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Iron Johnny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Gio d’Oro | 0.80 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forward Motion | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Huntsman | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sicilia Sal | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Paganini | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Steelersfanforlife | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pequeno Grande | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clams Casino | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Watch Your Tale | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Old Boy | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | English Channical | 12.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Bustin | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tommy T | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Switzerland | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fooch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teak | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Via Castagna | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | City Traveler | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy Strikes | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Benny Big Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bunyaan | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Emperor | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Avenue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gun for Hire | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton Town | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Might Be | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Lily | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Wise | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moondance | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool as You Like | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Collective Effort | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Witch Doctor | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power of Attorney | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Trick | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Zone | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factor This | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bannon | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | The Presidency | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Let’s Go Mick | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capo Dei Capi | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | So Noted | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Positioning | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foreset | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marriedtothemusic | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Fratello Del Nord | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sol the Freud | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cause for Surprise | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Clause | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Heater | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Carolina Shag | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Lamontagne | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Disguise | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 1 | Divine Miss Grey | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | True Charm | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Truth in the Lies | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Annie Rocks | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Herecomesyourman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Distorted Admiral | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Degree Burn | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Hunch | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Panama Papers | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Papi | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Admiral | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.