November 29, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Exchanging Secrets | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Causeway Cutie | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Marnesia Big Girl | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kissin Cassie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Renegade | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Navajo Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Cosmoiselle | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dream Passage | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piquet | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Holyholyholy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Banks | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danielle’s Pride | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Tulips Galore | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elegant Jem | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Irish Sweetheart | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Love | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Call Me | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Infield Is In | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | My Pirate | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maimo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Las Vegas | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Calculated Thinkin | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Charger | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | La Moneda | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Paz the Bourbon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unrepented | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Tizzelle | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driven by Speed | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Land Mine | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Jcs American Dream | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Bonita Springs | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Amazing Anne | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Broken Border | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Super | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Three | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Fashionable | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maddy’s Way | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curiousncuriouser | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feistyloulabelle | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Promise | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Ann | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold Lace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lion in Wait | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zenbennie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Frosty Lady | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nouvelle Vague (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridledadventure | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Tisbury | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Madame Uno | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Questeq | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Christmas Sky | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Indygita | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Alex the Terror | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gift Box | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Blackout (FR) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Governor Malibu | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5A | 5 | Kantune | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Papa Shot | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | All Is Number | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Extinct Charm | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Total Tap | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shalako | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Testosterstone | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Loki’s Vengeance | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold for the King | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Surprise | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Control | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Becker’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody Move | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jo | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Town Fair | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mazmania | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burkey’s Babe | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Spa Treatment | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 16B | 16 | Sugarille | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12B | 12 | Andretta | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizza Temper | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Galway Girl | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cirque | 4.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snowber | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Youth Gone Wild | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Reconsider It | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Cosmic Love | 50.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.