November 25, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Singing Aces |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Grand Fashioned |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
D’wildsummersfun |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sports Book |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Theboyzgrand Kis |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Pioneer’s Era |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
On the Take |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Scoot Too |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Toast to Don |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Smart Agenda |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Storming by Yawl |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Crush |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Rocketringo |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Chia Ghost |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
7 |
Desert Harbor |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1A |
9 |
Tiz a Par |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Moroccan Warrior |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Donwell |
1.80 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Blarney |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Babalight |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Space Cowgirl |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hot Wired |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Dixie Valentine |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Giant Collin |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
D’ Wildamber |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Yankee’s Fanny |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Laurens Flash Back |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Redtotherescue |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Fearless Dixie |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
I’ll Show Y’all |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
St Elfleda |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Big Band Annie |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Starship Journey |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Lavendator |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Smoking Donna |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Oh No Petrino |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kateline’s Dreamer |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Castalia Bella |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
So Silly Lillie |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Miss Katniss |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Angel in My Eyes |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Malila |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Threepeat |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Meiko Achufa |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Blue Houdini |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Firedupreadytogo |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kingston Ruler |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Royal Tree |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blake’s Father |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Debriyn |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Theboyzspark |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Coffee Cup |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dipper Pines |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Star Time |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sacred Saga |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Carmens Catcher |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sin Llorar |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stars R Out |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Atdabarwithmerrill |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Leroidesdanse |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tuco’s Revenge |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ten Glitters |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Summer’s Due |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Grand Hoga |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Onesimus |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
D’ Kingfish |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Smart Prospector |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Classic Greeley |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Vastjesus |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Recreational Use |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Queeten |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Flashy Smile |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Run My Pal |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Walking in Faith |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Pragmatical |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miss Emma Maria |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
She’sagraciouslady |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Fasten |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Kai Nalu |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Misty Sunrise |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Oh Dear Lord |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Vanter |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Colonial Kendra |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ulm |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Kapenta |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rulers Honour |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Montbrooks Miracle |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Youve Got a Friend |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Our Smitty |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
K One Kobra |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
A We Bit Flirty |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rose Needs a Check |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rylee’s Grand Song |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ginky Lou Winky |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Tax Money |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Tania’s Song |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Broadway Brahms |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Bubbas Lucky Spell |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pure Lunacy |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lionslittlebit |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Spectacular Strike |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lil Bit Fishy |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Rowdy’s Princess |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Kabanossi |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.