November 25, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karma King | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Airfoil | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indavidualist | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overcomer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Secret Affair | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Prospect | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frac Candy | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Zoning | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Dr. Ann | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Paved | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polished | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mandy’s Grace | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Temple Princess | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slick Trick | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rancor | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bunny Yogurt | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scat Home Lady | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Net | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Strike | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party Dancer | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prairie Citizen | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Roses and Candy | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Heaven Escape | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Saint Dermot | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Jewel | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Out of Patience | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dukes Up | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backintheacademy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Beaumarchais | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tisdale | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muchos Besos | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Hombre | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tristan’s Trilogy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Opportunist | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Lazzam (GB) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Defiantly | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Air Vice Marshal | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Terrys Tom Cat | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Temple Keys | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Soglio | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Energy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ice Kat | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saltini | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Music | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eldritch (IRE) | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mubtaahij (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Rules | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Freedom | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Attraction | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Surf | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Game | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Deb | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Street Fighter | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guy Code | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Getoffmyback | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Spokes | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boy Howdy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Packin Heat | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Minister | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One I’m Running To | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nap Lajoie | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Samurai | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Town | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Score | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Maker | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ritzy A. P. | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Tapit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Howard | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bowies Hero | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nero | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Samdar | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Camby | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Concur | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Praetorian | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Studly Perfection | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kris’ Rocket Kat | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California King | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Over | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tidal Effect | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bourbon Dude | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Optic | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Real Quick | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ever So True | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Casino Red (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Broad | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Thewayiam (FR) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Just a Smidge | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Is a Legend | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Data Dependent | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sappho (IRE) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Multiplayer | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raucous | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deep Breath (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.