November 25, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drover Crazy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Hiding Place | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Power Nap | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Zip | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bar None | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Management | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Made of Steel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Clause | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nolinski | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Merger of Banks | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Bunyan’s Axe | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Panama Ed | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Three Goals | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Honor | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Debauchery | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lewyville | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Enuff | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cantakeitanymore | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Platinum Nugget | 5.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Buss the Bell | 50.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Im the Captain Now | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Desperado | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Captain Hardship | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Culture Carrier | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unforeseeable | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Electro | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cumulative | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Promethean | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Last Shani | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Impression | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not Taken | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Penjade (FR) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sandy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bishop’s Pond | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winter | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gentrification | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Racing Raven | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orbed | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fixed Point | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sargeant Drive | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Septimius Severus | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Line of Departure | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Blinded Vision | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay the Price | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder’s Honor | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freeze the Account | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boule | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Got Out | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Perfection | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remarqued | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring for More | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Fond | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Be Sexy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mara | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Noni Go | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pauseforthecause | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Life Time Citizen | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Atlas | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Magnum | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Night Time Lady | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Zap | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wealth Effect | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drama Run | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Treasure | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cerro (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Panthera | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dowse’s Beach | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rainbow Heir | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bucchero | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowday (FR) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | White Flag | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Summation Time | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for Rye | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Blind Ambition | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summer Revolution | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Dubini | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spring to the Sky | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Senior Investment | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spieth | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonus Points | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Control Group | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can You Diggit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Timber | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baseline | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Midnight | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Djulpan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | California Swing | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Trader | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cuckoo’s Saloon | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Chance | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Oahu | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheyenne Bull | 3.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Archie | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unexplained | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nile Prince | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Radial Flyer | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | The Orphan Miracle | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.