November 24, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jericho | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Day Trip | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Power | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Russell Cave | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Candy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Reserve | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nizzi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burando | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Mo Money | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tabaddol | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cork Arm | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Kid Pichongo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Hubert Junior | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Friend to Me | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Out of the Trappe | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Pummy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hard to Be Good | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Path of David | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Holiday | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Jax Heritage | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Czarmo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Creole | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Candy Carlos | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collateral Kitten | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Menewa | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Couragous Chris | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hula Pie | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Squared | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kayne’spotofgold | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Our Emerald Forest (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glory Kingdom | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Flit N Flot | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Social Prize | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Paddy O’Lionel | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Impressive Student | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Knockit Off | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saved At Sea | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fist Full | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Tip Tap Tapizar | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbor Pilot | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who Datawaki | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tee Brown | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maddy’s Pro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Krafty Boy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hideaway Hero | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Rouge | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Andy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mardi Gras Mask | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Morning Mischief | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenucci | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Buddy Chuck | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Divide | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Toffee | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drama Specialist | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catching Diamonds | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alfresco | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Miss | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Mo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garci | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Show | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | N. D. Free | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drift Away | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Hallie Belle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C Islandsurprise | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Vortex | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Jus Kevin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shezadoll | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Bad Uncle | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lola’s the One | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dagny | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bee Boppin Baby | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rascofrade | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Music | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Altered Mind | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | E. T. Lane | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Light Her Up | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amore’s Prayer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Fitzgerald | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dance Till Two | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Promise | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toga Dance | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Candy Assay | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Action | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Enfestar | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Bayou Lady | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Carlena | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rahy’s Breeze | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | French Roast | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half a Jag | 12.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jopssal Dream | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.