November 23, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Muscade | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pavini (FR) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Interrogation | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Garden | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blank Slate | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windjammer (GER) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ormolu Lu | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kusama | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Play Big | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 1 | Tug of War | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motown Sound | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | West Hills Giant | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taoiseach | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Abdaar | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Are We Not Men | 0.80 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Oath | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Incubator | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westerdale | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marzo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Road to Meath | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gravitating | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talon | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Looking Ready | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | New York Hero | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barbarossa | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Seven Lilies | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Irish Valor | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Jo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Jaye Jaye | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alien Invasion | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | I Love Jaxson | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gotham’s Storm | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Highway | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baratti | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fielding Gold | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combat Controller | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Equality | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rossie Val | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Gotham News | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sir Maurice | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vicki’s Dancer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Driven by Speed | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 1 | Itsinthestars | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 3 | Andesine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Appeal | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paz the Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Munchkin Money | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Eloweasel | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 5 | Special Dividend | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Moondance Joy | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timely Tradition | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | True Charm | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 6 | Court Dancer | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrier to Entry | 6.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Well Humored | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taperge | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Score | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Divine Miss Grey | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Long | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Breeze (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rymska (FR) | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I’m Betty G | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Bonita Bianca | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Last Promise Kept | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Boat | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thais (FR) | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Land Mine | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Lift Up | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Threefiveindia | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seymourdini | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Green Gratto | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready for Rye | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Schivarelli | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Life in Shambles | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Stuff | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 6 | Acorn Street | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Soldiers Pride | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Momenta Kat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Toni Rox | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | She’s Da Nuts | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kickin Kimberly | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lill Mave | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meads Bay | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bird Key | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gator Girl | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Withaflourish | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.