November 22, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tusk | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souperfast | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiznoble | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lewis Vale | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poshsky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockford | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Claudia’s Vision | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derval | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Verona Blue | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ouro Verde | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seam | 1.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Matinee Babe | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Friend of Liberty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Inheritance | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team of Teams | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Littlemissbusiness | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Senorita | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | No Deal | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honored Promise | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Nevisian Spirit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Glossy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Elevenses | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Great Reward | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Gibson Girl | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Thea Afroditi | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Magnato Go | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Henry Lee | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Koa | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Rider | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nutzforboltz | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | English Soul | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pauseforthecause | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Purely Lucky | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Treasure | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | One Last Cast | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Jen | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rapid Route | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Birthday Gift | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Polar City | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpha Team | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Review | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Round | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Author | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shidoshi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Sultana | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Altar Boy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not in Charge | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Iggy Loco | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Indy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Tie Affair | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Focus Group | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Shahroze (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astounding | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Colonel | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rumbles of Thunder | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Givetheman a Cigar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Valour | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mast Step | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luzinski | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run for Boston | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Proof | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Victory’s Cash | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Dublin Express | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Minus Two | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fleet Admiral | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.