November 21, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chatainbegood | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Valid Prospector | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Alley | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Beau | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brie Brie’s Joy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starook | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lord Redding | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Northpine | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | V Double U | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winter Man | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chickawaw Charlie | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Randinsky | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | M. B.’s Vow | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Five Star Nap | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Betitallwithpaul | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Keeker | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fantasy Queen | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Sid N Say | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mimi’s Bella Alarm | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Sensation | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joy’s Rally Finale | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racin Prayer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smok’n Rita | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Kicking Back | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frenzy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Realmente Calmada | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Gray Ransom | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Booth Road Ozzie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Maximus | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Black N Gold | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Butterflies | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sarge N Charge | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alexander | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sharp Clark | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andy’s Production | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sin Llorar | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lord Arthur | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Chase | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Glads Love Cat | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Mila’s Gold | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Toast to Gertie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Glorious Day | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De Last Dance | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abbie’s Parade | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iona Star | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One King’s Rose | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Boggidyboggidy | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’amazing Amy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Him Twice | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mumbles | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inspire Courage | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Just too Smart | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sivershow | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under and Over | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macandales | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbon Box | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flying Clever | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Wicked | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Strollin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Child | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midge’s Magic | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Scarlet | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tattle Tail Sue | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Mona’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Party | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toni’s Vow | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elody | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tough Landing | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rocketringo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | All About Diva | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soulja Slim | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boogie Miester | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fiddlers Farewell | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kelcorcee | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alex’s Turn | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bitsy’s Half | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jade Star | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Half Primed | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | River Bobcat | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buxton Boy | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Thiscatsatalkin | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Slideruler | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salutetheprince | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Randy Paul | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Left Coast Dreams | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Sky | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Masculino | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scrutiny | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Shinguard | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Diablo Gris | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost Dove | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Rebecca’s Rabbit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Demo Day | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uknowiaintlying | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leah Camille | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poker Fever Gal | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devilish Sound | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.