November 20, 2017 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Nita B Lucky |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quematierras |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Excessive Jubilation |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fancy Radiant Dash |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nother Dynamite |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Bitaheaven |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kamilche Gold |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Xerxes |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
I’lbeamonkeysuncle |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Rox the Fox |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Caymus Kat |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Moon Zoom |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Manila Customer |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Derby) – Pm Fall Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Cm Partners in Crime |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Henry Craig |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ez Frosty Morn |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
L Bar D Genuine Red |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
The Cartel Hawk |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Perrys Gettin Down |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Win Surfer |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Absolutely Kool |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
L Bar D Bonnie Lee |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Leavin My Lover |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Atta Boy Dexter |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
You Mad Bro |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bobby Magic |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Salty Minnow |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Iamajetoo |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Kisses for Tonkaa |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Card Player Jack |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Sassafrass |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Remembering Lynn |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
D G Man |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Lordy Shes Perfect |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Toro John |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Seeking a Mystery |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Abeja |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Hot Tub |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tee Time Mary |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Behr Strike |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Walkin Indy |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Yoh Rocko |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Brutally Handsome |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Kings Court |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sharp Focus |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kalakala |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dallon’s Gold |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Some Storm Cat |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Meatball Paul |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Cats Gulch |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Relentless Rain |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alittle Bit Parker |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tilltheluvrunsout |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Miss Show Stopper |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Melinda’s Girl |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Holly Hollywood |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Smoke N Sizzle |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tinsel Angel |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Midnight Maggie |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.