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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2017

November 19, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Pretty Venezuela 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Forever Faith 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Empty House 1.80 3.3 6-1
1 1 Blackbirdhasspoken 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Kelly and Kiley 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Valiant Spirit 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Layla’s Voyage 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Glamour Queen 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Bubba’s Will 8.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
5 5 Trappezio 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Two Steppin 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Spider John 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Down Market 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Arrivano 1.60 5.5 10-1
6 6 Uncle James 10.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
8 7 Wind Spirit 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Naughty Delite 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Stella B. 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Star of Midnight 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Grazen Honor 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Our Juliet 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Dereya 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mrs. Rembrandt 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Incleveland 1.40 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Pahall Revear 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Scobeyville 3.50 2 4-1 Scr
8 8 I Ain’t Kitten 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 The Pooch 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Dark Moon 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Factor This In 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Wizard of Odds 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Proudmiamicitizen 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 On the Wall 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Yakov 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lawyer Dave 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Undeniable Temper 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Act of Madness 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Wendy Wend 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Clowney 2.50 5 9-1
7 7 General Bellamy 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Final Ritual 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Alturist 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sir Sidney 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dennis’ Diamond 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Castaway 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Malekith 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 One Sided 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 High Dollar Kitten 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 He’s So Fine 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Golden Rivet 10.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Bluegrass Demon 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 People’s Champ 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 3 Chill Factor 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Capt. Grider 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Un Paso Alante 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 El Dulzura 20.00 5 9-1
8 6 Extrasexymazzerati 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Prep Pride 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Southern Kisses 20.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
7 7 Southhampton Skye 15.00 8.5 16-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Bang the Drum 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Koan 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Scherzo 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Barcode 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Thefundsarelow 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Unto Thou 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Risque Rebel 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Stoneville 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Recanted 4.00 2 4-1
6 5 Ghareeb 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Franklin 20.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Chasing Twilight 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Chippewawhitechief 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Titanium Heart 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Demand 12.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
9 9 Portent 6.00 7 13-1 Scr
12 10 Urban Burn 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 4 Picozza 8.00 9.5 18-1
3 2 Diamond Prince 20.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Star of Sarava 20.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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