November 19, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Venezuela |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Forever Faith |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Empty House |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Blackbirdhasspoken |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kelly and Kiley |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Valiant Spirit |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Layla’s Voyage |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Glamour Queen |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Bubba’s Will |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Trappezio |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Two Steppin |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Spider John |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Down Market |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Arrivano |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Uncle James |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Wind Spirit |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Naughty Delite |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Stella B. |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Star of Midnight |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Grazen Honor |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Our Juliet |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dereya |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mrs. Rembrandt |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Incleveland |
1.40 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Pahall Revear |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Scobeyville |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
I Ain’t Kitten |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
The Pooch |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dark Moon |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Factor This In |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wizard of Odds |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
On the Wall |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Yakov |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lawyer Dave |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Undeniable Temper |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Act of Madness |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wendy Wend |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Clowney |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
General Bellamy |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Final Ritual |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Alturist |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sir Sidney |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dennis’ Diamond |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Castaway |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Malekith |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
One Sided |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
High Dollar Kitten |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
He’s So Fine |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Golden Rivet |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bluegrass Demon |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
People’s Champ |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Chill Factor |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Capt. Grider |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Un Paso Alante |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
El Dulzura |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Extrasexymazzerati |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Prep Pride |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Southern Kisses |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Southhampton Skye |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bang the Drum |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Koan |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Scherzo |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Barcode |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Thefundsarelow |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Unto Thou |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Risque Rebel |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Stoneville |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Recanted |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ghareeb |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Franklin |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Chasing Twilight |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Chippewawhitechief |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Titanium Heart |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Demand |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Portent |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Urban Burn |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Picozza |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Diamond Prince |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Star of Sarava |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.