November 19, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Boyfriend Material | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yes Means No | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taxable Goods | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Flashy One | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stunning Baby | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Pound | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Tattooed | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Likeitlikethat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Motherland | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Just the Facts | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Slippery Slope | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Yankee Tar | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | On the Wings Of | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Silver | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fevered Affair | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Change of View | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Pablo | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stephen’s Answer | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | You Like That | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 9 | Honor and Pleasure | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tado | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Junction | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leather Goods | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runninginthevale | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Casby | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adversary | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play It Again | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Hayes | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Mydrinkselection | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cincy Belle | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweeter Surprise | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Chef Karen | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angel of Love | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Fed Up Fired Up | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | La La Bamba | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fleet Flame | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linda Nin | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over Honey | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Believe in Royalty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Threes Over Deuces | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here’s Paco | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rivington | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moveslike Molasses | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Steve | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Jimmy B | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raphael’s Promise | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Clutch Catch | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Griff’s Ghost | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Channel Won | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Commonwealthchrome | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Conquest Falcon | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Paratycachaca | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Huracan | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Lacrostix | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Anthem | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Bombero | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Tap the Pistol | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Deputy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Barin | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Neighmar | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Aup Sunny | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Sir Smarty | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Have Hope | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Achance Too | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Tonsafun | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thissongisaboutyou | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gimme Kimmy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Street | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marie From Parie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sazerac Girl | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Hot | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Kaitain | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 1 | The Tortoise | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Hodor | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Magician | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Southern Barbecue | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hot and Heavy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Iggy Loco | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Chateau de Vizille | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 5 | Immunity | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Breaker | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Nile Prince | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Jump Ship | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Papal Law | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Romeo | 10.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 7 | My Train | 8.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Bernice | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Da’blues Dancer | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlett’s Ransom | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honor and Blessing | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flint Hill | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smarty’s Legend | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitty Bank | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fly and Flutter | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Princess | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faith ‘n Works | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Tandy | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.