November 19, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stun | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Love Your Buttons | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fooch | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disruptor | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Shidoshi | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smidge | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Bigluck E | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nominal Dollars | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Black | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arbitrator | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inventor’s Gate | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try Flying | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Miracle | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gold for the King | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loki’s Vengeance | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Surprise | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody Move | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Control | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Boat | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Music | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power of Attorney | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Presidency | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orbed | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blinded Vision | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ride to the Sunset | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pay the Price | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder’s Honor | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abiding Star | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Raagheb | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wabel | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mills | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | For Greater Glory | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shalako | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dearie | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12B | 12 | Flash Trading | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krampus | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13B | 13 | Halloween Horror | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapt | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bobby G | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Therapy | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Business Expense | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Spirit | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Homewood Field | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The J Y | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York Song | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Markitoff | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pocket Change | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Driven by Speed | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Church Social | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Got Out | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nawlins Kitty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Road to Perfection | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remarqued | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bonita Springs | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bigkat and Camille | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spring for More | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Stay Fond | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Canoe | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nutcracker Suite (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7B | 7 | Cerro (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Harlan Punch | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6B | 6 | Pete’s Play Call | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Favorable Outcome | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always a Suspect | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Very Very Stella | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Shooter | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Im the Captain Now | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desperado | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Hardship | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Electro | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unforeseeable | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Culture Carrier | 1.40 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cumulative | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Promethean | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Causeway | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glad Moon (GER) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.